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Super League 1

Volos NFC—AEK Athens FC

· Panthessaliko Stadium

What the model reads

75%Over 1.5 goals

A probability, not a prediction: 75% means the opposite outcome happens about 25% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

VOL
14%
Draw
23%
AEK
63%
Data quality behind this analysis
80%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

0–212%0–112%1–111%

Together these cover 53% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Volos NFC takes 1.41 points per game at home against 0.76 away — two different sides depending on the ground

What could mislead us

  • AEK Athens FC's attack: better than ~84% of the teams in the league
  • Volos NFC's defence: tighter than only ~16% of the teams in the league — among the weakest

The full analysis of Volos NFC — AEK Athens FC

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.