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Super Liga

Vojvodina—IMT Novi Beograd

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What the model reads

78%Under 3.5 goals

A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

VOJ
52%
Draw
26%
IMT
22%
Data quality behind this analysis
60%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–014%1–112%2–011%

Together these cover 55% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Vojvodina's attack: better than ~84% of the teams in the league
  • Vojvodina takes 1.97 points per game at home, the opponent 1.38 away
  • Vojvodina has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

The full analysis of Vojvodina — IMT Novi Beograd

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.