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Superliga

Viborg—FC Nordsjaelland

· Energi Viborg Arena

What the model reads

60%Draw or away

A probability, not a prediction: 60% means the opposite outcome happens about 40% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

VIB
40%
Draw
26%
NOR
34%
Data quality behind this analysis
80%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–113%2–19%1–08%

Together these cover 45% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Viborg's attack: better than ~75% of the teams in the league
  • Viborg takes 1.8 points per game at home, the opponent 1.15 away
  • Viborg has won 4 of its last 6

What could mislead us

  • FC Nordsjaelland's attack: better than ~82% of the teams in the league
  • FC Nordsjaelland takes 2.15 points per game at home against 1.15 away — two different sides depending on the ground

The full analysis of Viborg — FC Nordsjaelland

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.