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La Liga
Valencia—Celta Vigo
· Estadio de Mestalla
Final score
0–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
54%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 54% means the opposite outcome happens about 46% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- VAL
- 47%
- Draw
- 24%
- CEL
- 29%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Valencia has won 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- Celta Vigo's attack: better than ~73% of the teams in the league
- Valencia has 12 declared absences
The full analysis of Valencia — Celta Vigo
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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