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Serie A
Torino—AS Roma
· Stadio Olimpico di Torino
What the model reads
54%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 54% means the opposite outcome happens about 46% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- TOR
- 26%
- Draw
- 26%
- ROM
- 48%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 47% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- AS Roma has 4 declared absences
- Torino takes 1.5 points per game at home against 0.81 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- AS Roma's attack: better than ~88% of the teams in the league
- Torino's defence: tighter than only ~7% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
The full analysis of Torino — AS Roma
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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