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Czech Liga
Slavia Praha—Plzen
· Fortuna Arena
What the model reads
62%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 62% means the opposite outcome happens about 38% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- SLA
- 62%
- Draw
- 23%
- PLZ
- 15%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 52% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Slavia Praha's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
- Slavia Praha takes 2.38 points per game at home, the opponent 1.67 away
- Slavia Praha has won 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- Plzen's attack: better than ~85% of the teams in the league
- The draw still weighs 23%: the outright win is not secured.
The full analysis of Slavia Praha — Plzen
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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