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Superliga
Silkeborg—FC Midtjylland
· Jysk Park
Final score
1–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
63%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 63% means the opposite outcome happens about 37% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- SIL
- 24%
- Draw
- 23%
- MID
- 53%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Fragile — it has run 13 points below what it announced, so this number is capped and flagged
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 41% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FC Midtjylland has 10 declared absences
What could mislead us
- FC Midtjylland's attack: better than ~96% of the teams in the league
- Silkeborg's defence: tighter than only ~18% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
The full analysis of Silkeborg — FC Midtjylland
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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