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Primera A
Santa Fe—America de Cali
· Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Final score
0–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
43%Under 1.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 43% means the opposite outcome happens about 57% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- SAN
- 39%
- Draw
- 33%
- AME
- 28%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Santa Fe's attack: better than ~75% of the teams in the league
- Santa Fe takes 1.68 points per game at home, the opponent 1.16 away
What could mislead us
- America de Cali takes 2.2 points per game at home against 1.16 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- America de Cali has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of Santa Fe — America de Cali
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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