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Major League Soccer
San Jose Earthquakes—Minnesota United FC
· PayPal Park
Final score
1–5
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
66%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 66% means the opposite outcome happens about 34% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- JOS
- 33%
- Draw
- 23%
- MIN
- 44%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- San Jose Earthquakes's attack: better than ~75% of the teams in the league
- Minnesota United FC has 6 declared absences
- San Jose Earthquakes scores 2 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- San Jose Earthquakes's defence: tighter than only ~22% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- San Jose Earthquakes has 6 declared absences
The full analysis of San Jose Earthquakes — Minnesota United FC
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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