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Major League Soccer
San Diego—Colorado Rapids
· Snapdragon Stadium
Final score
3–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
69%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 69% means the opposite outcome happens about 31% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- SAN
- 69%
- Draw
- 18%
- COL
- 13%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- San Diego's attack: better than ~85% of the teams in the league
- San Diego takes 1.61 points per game at home, the opponent 0.73 away
- Colorado Rapids has 14 declared absences
What could mislead us
- Colorado Rapids takes 1.81 points per game at home against 0.73 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Colorado Rapids has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of San Diego — Colorado Rapids
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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