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Segunda División
Real Sociedad II—Mallorca
· Estadio Zubieta
What the model reads
40%Away win
A probability, not a prediction: 40% means the opposite outcome happens about 60% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- RSO
- 31%
- Draw
- 29%
- MAL
- 40%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 55% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Real Sociedad II takes 1.32 points per game at home, the opponent 0.66 away
What could mislead us
- Mallorca takes 1.72 points per game at home against 0.66 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of Real Sociedad II — Mallorca
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.