Lire cette analyse en français
FKF Premier League
Police—Ulinzi Stars
· —
What the model reads
76%Under 2.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 76% means the opposite outcome happens about 24% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- POL
- 47%
- Draw
- 34%
- ULI
- 19%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 73% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Ulinzi Stars's defence: tighter than only ~32% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
What could mislead us
- 6 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
- Ulinzi Stars has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of Police — Ulinzi Stars
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.