Lire cette analyse en français
K League 1
Pohang Steelers—Gimcheon Sangmu FC
· Pohang Steel Yard
Final score
0–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
77%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 77% means the opposite outcome happens about 23% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- POH
- 37%
- Draw
- 29%
- SAN
- 34%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Fragile — it has run 18 points below what it announced, so this number is capped and flagged
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 51% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What could mislead us
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC has won 6 of the last 8 meetings
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of Pohang Steelers — Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.