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Eredivisie

PEC Zwolle—Feyenoord

· MAC³PARK Stadion

What the model reads

62%Away win

A probability, not a prediction: 62% means the opposite outcome happens about 38% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

ZWO
16%
Draw
22%
FEY
62%
Data quality behind this analysis
100%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–110%1–210%0–210%

Together these cover 45% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Feyenoord has 12 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • Feyenoord's attack: better than ~93% of the teams in the league
  • PEC Zwolle's defence: tighter than only ~17% of the teams in the league — among the weakest

The full analysis of PEC Zwolle — Feyenoord

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.