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Czech Liga
Pardubice—Bohemians 1905
· Stadion Arnosta Kostala
What the model reads
78%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- PAR
- 38%
- Draw
- 29%
- BOH
- 33%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 52% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What could mislead us
- Pardubice's defence: tighter than only ~32% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- Pardubice has lost 5 of its last 6
The full analysis of Pardubice — Bohemians 1905
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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