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La Liga
Osasuna—Levante
· Estadio El Sadar
Final score
0–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
56%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 56% means the opposite outcome happens about 44% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- OSA
- 46%
- Draw
- 26%
- LEV
- 28%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 46% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Levante's defence: tighter than only ~17% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home, the opponent 1.07 away
- Osasuna takes 1.8 points per game at home against 0.65 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Levante takes 1.73 points per game at home against 1.07 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Osasuna has lost 5 of its last 6
The full analysis of Osasuna — Levante
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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