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Czech Liga

Mlada Boleslav—Zbrojovka Brno

· Lokotrans Arena

What the model reads

60%Home win

A probability, not a prediction: 60% means the opposite outcome happens about 40% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

MLA
60%
Draw
21%
BRN
19%
Data quality behind this analysis
80%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

2–110%1–110%2–09%

Together these cover 44% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Mlada Boleslav's attack: better than ~79% of the teams in the league

What could mislead us

  • Mlada Boleslav's defence: tighter than only ~26% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
  • 2 draws in the last 4 meetings — a historically tight fixture

The full analysis of Mlada Boleslav — Zbrojovka Brno

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.