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Allsvenskan
Mjallby AIF—Gais
· Strandvallen
What the model reads
65%Under 2.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 65% means the opposite outcome happens about 35% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- MJA
- 39%
- Draw
- 31%
- GAI
- 30%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 60% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Mjallby AIF's attack: better than ~82% of the teams in the league
- Mjallby AIF takes 1.92 points per game at home, the opponent 1.28 away
What could mislead us
- 3 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
- Mjallby AIF has lost 5 of its last 6
The full analysis of Mjallby AIF — Gais
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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