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Serie A

Mirassol—Flamengo

· Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Final score

1–5

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

53%Both teams to score

A probability, not a prediction: 53% means the opposite outcome happens about 47% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

MIR
41%
Draw
25%
FLA
34%
Data quality behind this analysis
60%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

The full analysis of Mirassol — Flamengo

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

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