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Superliga

Lyngby—Odense

· Lyngby Stadium

Final score

1–1

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

75%Under 3.5 goals

A probability, not a prediction: 75% means the opposite outcome happens about 25% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

LYN
33%
Draw
28%
ODE
39%
Data quality behind this analysis
100%
Reliability measured in this competition
Fragile — it has run 13 points below what it announced, so this number is capped and flagged

Most probable scorelines

1–113%0–110%1–09%

Together these cover 49% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Odense's defence: tighter than only ~32% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
  • Lyngby takes 1.5 points per game at home, the opponent 0.94 away
  • Odense has 6 declared absences

What could mislead us

  • The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident

The full analysis of Lyngby — Odense

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.