Lire cette analyse en français
Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy—Obolon'-Brovar
· Cherkasy Arena
Final score
3–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
58%Home clean sheet
A probability, not a prediction: 58% means the opposite outcome happens about 42% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- LNZ
- 52%
- Draw
- 32%
- OBO
- 16%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 72% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Obolon'-Brovar's defence: tighter than only ~22% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- LNZ Cherkasy takes 1.58 points per game at home, the opponent 1 away
What could mislead us
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of LNZ Cherkasy — Obolon'-Brovar
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.