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Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa—Widzew Łódź
· Stadion Wojska Polskiego
What the model reads
58%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 58% means the opposite outcome happens about 42% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- LEG
- 58%
- Draw
- 24%
- WID
- 18%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 51% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Legia Warszawa takes 1.69 points per game at home, the opponent 0.8 away
- Legia Warszawa has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
What could mislead us
- The draw still weighs 24%: the outright win is not secured.
- Widzew Łódź takes 1.58 points per game at home against 0.8 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of Legia Warszawa — Widzew Łódź
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.