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Ligue 1
Le Havre—Monaco
· Stade Oceane
Final score
0–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
60%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 60% means the opposite outcome happens about 40% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- HAV
- 30%
- Draw
- 28%
- MON
- 42%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Monaco has 14 declared absences
What could mislead us
- Monaco's attack: better than ~75% of the teams in the league
- Le Havre's defence: tighter than only ~19% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
The full analysis of Le Havre — Monaco
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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