Lire cette analyse en français
2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher SC—1. FC Nürnberg
· BBBank Wildpark
What the model reads
64%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 64% means the opposite outcome happens about 36% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- KAR
- 38%
- Draw
- 25%
- NUR
- 37%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 41% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Karlsruher SC takes 1.83 points per game at home, the opponent 1.14 away
- Karlsruher SC takes 1.83 points per game at home against 1.04 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Karlsruher SC scores 1.9 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- Karlsruher SC's defence: tighter than only ~24% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- 1. FC Nürnberg has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of Karlsruher SC — 1. FC Nürnberg
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.