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Ligue 1
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane—ES Metlaoui
· Stade Chedly Zouiten
What the model reads
66%Under 2.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 66% means the opposite outcome happens about 34% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- JEU
- 41%
- Draw
- 30%
- ESM
- 29%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 61% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane takes 1.83 points per game at home, the opponent 1.05 away
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane takes 1.83 points per game at home against 0.53 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's defence: tighter than only ~16% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- 2 draws in the last 4 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The full analysis of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane — ES Metlaoui
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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