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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami—San Diego
· Nu Stadium
What the model reads
66%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 66% means the opposite outcome happens about 34% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- INT
- 46%
- Draw
- 23%
- SAN
- 31%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 39% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Inter Miami's attack: better than ~98% of the teams in the league
- Inter Miami scores 2.9 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- San Diego's attack: better than ~87% of the teams in the league
- San Diego has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of Inter Miami — San Diego
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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