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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami—Nashville SC
· Nu Stadium
Final score
2–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
59%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 59% means the opposite outcome happens about 41% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- INT
- 46%
- Draw
- 25%
- NAS
- 29%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 44% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Inter Miami's attack: better than ~98% of the teams in the league
- Inter Miami takes 2.07 points per game at home, the opponent 1.29 away
- Inter Miami scores 2.9 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- Nashville SC's attack: better than ~87% of the teams in the league
- Inter Miami has 12 declared absences
The full analysis of Inter Miami — Nashville SC
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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