Lire cette analyse en français
Allsvenskan
Hammarby FF—Gais
· 3Arena
Final score
2–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
78%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- HAM
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- GAI
- 24%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Hammarby FF's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
- Hammarby FF takes 2.46 points per game at home, the opponent 1.39 away
- Gais has 14 declared absences
What could mislead us
- Hammarby FF has 4 declared absences
- 2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The full analysis of Hammarby FF — Gais
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.