Lire cette analyse en français
Eliteserien
Ham-Kam—Molde
· Briskeby Arena
What the model reads
60%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 60% means the opposite outcome happens about 40% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- HAM
- 25%
- Draw
- 23%
- MOL
- 52%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 43% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Ham-Kam takes 1.65 points per game at home, the opponent 1.04 away
- Molde has 12 declared absences
- Ham-Kam takes 1.65 points per game at home against 0.79 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Molde's attack: better than ~82% of the teams in the league
- Molde takes 1.83 points per game at home against 1.04 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of Ham-Kam — Molde
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.