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K League 1
Gwangju FC—FC Anyang
· Gwangju Football Stadium
Final score
1–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
78%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GWA
- 33%
- Draw
- 29%
- ANY
- 38%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Fragile — it has run 18 points below what it announced, so this number is capped and flagged
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 53% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FC Anyang's defence: tighter than only ~32% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- FC Anyang has lost 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- Gwangju FC's defence: tighter than only ~18% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- On this league, our verified analyses held 50% for 66% announced (over 20): read the probability with caution.
The full analysis of Gwangju FC — FC Anyang
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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