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Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas—Club Tijuana
· Estadio Akron
Final score
5–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
81%Home or draw
A probability, not a prediction: 81% means the opposite outcome happens about 19% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GUA
- 57%
- Draw
- 24%
- CLU
- 19%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Guadalajara Chivas takes 1.88 points per game at home, the opponent 1.13 away
What could mislead us
- Club Tijuana takes 1.92 points per game at home against 1.13 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Club Tijuana has won 4 of its last 6
The full analysis of Guadalajara Chivas — Club Tijuana
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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