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Segunda División
Granada CF—FC Andorra
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What the model reads
78%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GRA
- 52%
- Draw
- 27%
- FC
- 21%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 56% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FC Andorra has lost 5 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- FC Andorra's attack: better than ~87% of the teams in the league
- 2 draws in the last 4 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The full analysis of Granada CF — FC Andorra
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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