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Premier League
Ghazl El Mehalla—Pyramids FC
· El-Gazel Stadium
Final score
0–3
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
88%Draw or away
A probability, not a prediction: 88% means the opposite outcome happens about 12% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GHA
- 12%
- Draw
- 27%
- PYR
- 61%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Ghazl El Mehalla takes 1.41 points per game at home against 0.76 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Pyramids FC's attack: better than ~93% of the teams in the league
- Pyramids FC has won 7 of the last 8 meetings
The full analysis of Ghazl El Mehalla — Pyramids FC
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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