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La Liga
Getafe—Deportivo La Coruna
· Coliseum
What the model reads
61%Under 2.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 61% means the opposite outcome happens about 39% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GET
- 51%
- Draw
- 28%
- COR
- 21%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 58% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What could mislead us
- Deportivo La Coruna's attack: better than ~83% of the teams in the league
- Getafe has 12 declared absences
The full analysis of Getafe — Deportivo La Coruna
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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