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Jupiler Pro League

Gent—Club Brugge KV

· Planet Group Arena

Final score

2–1

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

43%Away win

A probability, not a prediction: 43% means the opposite outcome happens about 57% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

GEN
30%
Draw
27%
CLU
43%
Data quality behind this analysis
100%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–113%0–19%1–29%

Together these cover 46% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What could mislead us

  • Club Brugge KV's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
  • Gent's defence: tighter than only ~19% of the teams in the league — among the weakest

The full analysis of Gent — Club Brugge KV

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.