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K League 1
Gangwon FC—Jeju United FC
· Chuncheon Songam Stadium
What the model reads
53%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 53% means the opposite outcome happens about 47% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- GAN
- 40%
- Draw
- 28%
- JEJ
- 32%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Fragile — it has run 18 points below what it announced, so this number is capped and flagged
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 48% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What could mislead us
- 5 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
- On this league, our verified analyses held 50% for 66% announced (over 20): read the probability with caution.
The full analysis of Gangwon FC — Jeju United FC
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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