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Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard—AZ Alkmaar
· Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Final score
0–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
62%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 62% means the opposite outcome happens about 38% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- SIT
- 29%
- Draw
- 27%
- ALK
- 44%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- AZ Alkmaar has 8 declared absences
- Fortuna Sittard takes 1.58 points per game at home against 0.87 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- AZ Alkmaar's attack: better than ~83% of the teams in the league
- Fortuna Sittard's defence: tighter than only ~21% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
The full analysis of Fortuna Sittard — AZ Alkmaar
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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