Lire cette analyse en français
Superliga
FC Copenhagen—AC Horsens
· Parken Stadium
Final score
2–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
78%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 78% means the opposite outcome happens about 22% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- COP
- 78%
- Draw
- 14%
- HOR
- 8%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 47% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FC Copenhagen's attack: better than ~89% of the teams in the league
- FC Copenhagen has won 4 of its last 6
- FC Copenhagen scores 2.3 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- FC Copenhagen has 12 declared absences
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of FC Copenhagen — AC Horsens
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.