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Segunda División
FC Andorra—Sporting Gijon
· Estadi de la FAF
What the model reads
83%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 83% means the opposite outcome happens about 17% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- FC
- 41%
- Draw
- 30%
- GIJ
- 29%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 58% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FC Andorra's attack: better than ~87% of the teams in the league
What could mislead us
- Sporting Gijon's attack: better than ~71% of the teams in the league
- FC Andorra has lost 5 of its last 6
The full analysis of FC Andorra — Sporting Gijon
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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