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Botola Pro
FAR Rabat—Raja Casablanca
· Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
What the model reads
80%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 80% means the opposite outcome happens about 20% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- RAB
- 37%
- Draw
- 32%
- RAJ
- 31%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 54% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- FAR Rabat's attack: better than ~84% of the teams in the league
- FAR Rabat takes 2.31 points per game at home, the opponent 1.67 away
- FAR Rabat takes 2.31 points per game at home against 1.37 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Raja Casablanca's attack: better than ~91% of the teams in the league
- 6 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The full analysis of FAR Rabat — Raja Casablanca
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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