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Ligue 1
ES Hammam-Sousse—US Monastirienne
· Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium
Final score
0–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
68%Under 2.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 68% means the opposite outcome happens about 32% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- ESHS
- 21%
- Draw
- 26%
- USMO
- 53%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What could mislead us
- 2 draws in the last 5 meetings — a historically tight fixture
- US Monastirienne takes 2.11 points per game at home against 1.15 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of ES Hammam-Sousse — US Monastirienne
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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