Lire cette analyse en français
HNL
Dinamo Zagreb—NK Varazdin
· Stadion Maksimir
Final score
3–1
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
91%Home or draw
A probability, not a prediction: 91% means the opposite outcome happens about 9% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- ZAG
- 73%
- Draw
- 18%
- NK
- 9%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Dinamo Zagreb's attack: better than ~95% of the teams in the league
- Dinamo Zagreb takes 2.58 points per game at home, the opponent 1.28 away
- Dinamo Zagreb has won 5 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- NK Varazdin has won 5 of its last 6
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of Dinamo Zagreb — NK Varazdin
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.