Lire cette analyse en français
Premier League
CSKA Moscow—Lokomotiv
· VEB Arena
Final score
3–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
57%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 57% means the opposite outcome happens about 43% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CSK
- 49%
- Draw
- 24%
- LOK
- 27%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- CSKA Moscow takes 2.24 points per game at home, the opponent 1.35 away
- Lokomotiv has 6 declared absences
- CSKA Moscow takes 2.24 points per game at home against 1.48 away — two different sides depending on the ground
What could mislead us
- Lokomotiv's attack: better than ~78% of the teams in the league
- CSKA Moscow has 4 declared absences
The full analysis of CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.