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Ligue 1
CS Constantine—ASO Chlef
· Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui
Final score
3–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
81%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 81% means the opposite outcome happens about 19% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CON
- 55%
- Draw
- 27%
- CHL
- 18%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 60% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- CS Constantine takes 1.9 points per game at home, the opponent 0.7 away
- CS Constantine takes 1.9 points per game at home against 0.9 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- ASO Chlef has lost 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- The draw still weighs 27%: the outright win is not secured.
- ASO Chlef takes 1.3 points per game at home against 0.7 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of CS Constantine — ASO Chlef
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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