Lire cette analyse en français
Liga MX
Cruz Azul—Atlas
· Estadio Banorte
Final score
0–2
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
69%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 69% means the opposite outcome happens about 31% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CRU
- 69%
- Draw
- 20%
- ATL
- 11%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
What supports it
- Cruz Azul's attack: better than ~86% of the teams in the league
- Cruz Azul takes 2.23 points per game at home, the opponent 1.17 away
- Cruz Azul scores 1.9 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
- The model is not calibrated on this league yet: the stated probability may be overconfident
The full analysis of Cruz Azul — Atlas
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.