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Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad—Khenchela
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What the model reads
66%Home win
A probability, not a prediction: 66% means the opposite outcome happens about 34% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- BEL
- 66%
- Draw
- 22%
- KHE
- 12%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 60%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 57% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- CR Belouizdad's attack: better than ~97% of the teams in the league
- Khenchela's defence: tighter than only ~31% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- CR Belouizdad takes 2.1 points per game at home, the opponent 1.05 away
What could mislead us
- The draw still weighs 22%: the outright win is not secured.
- Khenchela takes 1.95 points per game at home against 1.05 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of CR Belouizdad — Khenchela
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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