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Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids—Seattle Sounders
· Dick's Sporting Goods Park
What the model reads
77%Under 3.5 goals
A probability, not a prediction: 77% means the opposite outcome happens about 23% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- COL
- 34%
- Draw
- 28%
- SEA
- 38%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 51% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Colorado Rapids takes 1.89 points per game at home, the opponent 1.19 away
- Colorado Rapids takes 1.89 points per game at home against 0.52 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Colorado Rapids has won 4 of its last 6
What could mislead us
- Seattle Sounders takes 1.88 points per game at home against 1.19 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Seattle Sounders has won 5 of the last 8 meetings
The full analysis of Colorado Rapids — Seattle Sounders
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.