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Liga MX
Club Tijuana—U.N.A.M. - Pumas
· Estadio Caliente
Final score
2–0
The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.
What the model reads
55%Both teams to score
A probability, not a prediction: 55% means the opposite outcome happens about 45% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- CLU
- 40%
- Draw
- 27%
- UNA
- 33%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 100%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 47% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Club Tijuana takes 1.92 points per game at home against 1.17 away — two different sides depending on the ground
- Club Tijuana has won 4 of its last 6
- Club Tijuana scores 1.8 goals per game at home
What could mislead us
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas's attack: better than ~75% of the teams in the league
- 4 draws in the last 8 meetings — a historically tight fixture
The full analysis of Club Tijuana — U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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