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Liga MX

Club Tijuana—Club Queretaro

· Estadio Caliente

Final score

0–1

The reading below was published before kick-off and has not been rewritten since. It is kept on display whether it held or not — that is what makes the record worth reading.

What the model reads

76%Under 3.5 goals

A probability, not a prediction: 76% means the opposite outcome happens about 24% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.

CLU
48%
Draw
27%
QUE
25%
Data quality behind this analysis
80%
Reliability measured in this competition
Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise

Most probable scorelines

1–113%1–012%2–19%

Together these cover 52% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.

What supports it

  • Club Tijuana takes 2.04 points per game at home, the opponent 1.17 away
  • Club Tijuana takes 2.04 points per game at home against 1.13 away — two different sides depending on the ground
  • Club Tijuana has won 4 of its last 6

The full analysis of Club Tijuana — Club Queretaro

Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.

Open the full analysis →How this number is built

GrabbleStats publishes model probabilities, confidence levels and data-quality indicators. It is an analysis tool, not betting advice, and it promises no accuracy, certainty or gain. Strictly reserved for adults.