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Liga MX
Club Queretaro—Leon
· Estadio La Corregidora
What the model reads
39%Away win
A probability, not a prediction: 39% means the opposite outcome happens about 61% of the time. This number was published before kick-off and is judged against the final score in public.
- QUE
- 34%
- Draw
- 28%
- CLU
- 38%
- Data quality behind this analysis
- 80%
- Reliability measured in this competition
- Not measured here yet — under twenty judged analyses, a gap is sample noise
Most probable scorelines
Together these cover 49% of what could happen. A single scoreline stays an unlikely event even when it is the most likely one — which is why the figure never travels without its probability.
What supports it
- Leon's defence: tighter than only ~25% of the teams in the league — among the weakest
- Club Queretaro takes 1.36 points per game at home, the opponent 0.7 away
- Leon concedes 2 goals per game away
What could mislead us
- Leon takes 1.38 points per game at home against 0.7 away — two different sides depending on the ground
The full analysis of Club Queretaro — Leon
Five tabs — the reasoning market by market, the lineups and their effect, the gap against the margin-free consensus, the context, and how the analysis moved — plus the live state during the match. A free account opens them. It never unlocks different numbers: everyone reads the same probabilities.
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